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February 2023 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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Almaden Valley’s real estate market climbed out of the holiday doldrums in fine fashion in February. Under contract and sold single family homes posted healthy increases over January. We saw a decrease in the number of new listings during this time period, which may have been an anomaly as we usually see inventory increase as well as the market comes out of the holiday season. In fact, February numbers showed a scant one month’s of inventory versus the 2.6 months we saw in January. When looking at data for the past three years, February has experienced a similar low inventory, but usually an increase from January. This will bear watching as it could be an indication that there may be a shift from a buyer’s market to a seller’s market.

Overall, Almaden Valley real estate appears to be holding a fairly stable pattern. We aren’t seeing the astronomical sales numbers of 2021 when homes were selling faster than they were coming onto the market. Today, homes are taking longer to sell but data is showing there is plenty of interest in Almaden Valley homes, and well-priced homes are finding an eager market.

If you are thinking about selling your home in our always-changing market, give me a call and let me show you how I can help!

February 2023 Almaden Valley Real Estate

Almaden Valley Market 2022 in Review

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The Almaden Valley single family residential market ended 2022 on a quiet note. The beginning of the year showed dramatic price increases but the gains were given back by the end of the year. Increasing interest rates and the economic climate also affected buyer enthusiasm. Although inventory increased quite a bit from 2021, we did not see a similar dramatic increase in home purchasing. This could very well be signaling a return to a more normal market balance between sellers and buyers. If you’re thinking now might be the right time for you to buy or sell, give me a call!

Almaden Valley Market 2022

October 2022 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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Almaden Valley real estate has entered the more leisurely holiday period, when we expect the market to slow as the holidays progress. In looking over the previous several months, we can see that the frantic pace of 2021 was not repeated in 2022. In fact, the market appears to be much more in alignment with pre-pandemic times as far as pending and sold listings are concerned. Inventory is still a bit tight but not enough to fuel the vigorous bidding wars of 2021.

The price per square foot is where we can see the market transitioning to a more stable place. April 2022 saw a peak of nearly $1100 per square foot, while October posted a more moderate $842. Although this number is lower than the $882 of October 2021, it is up a healthy 18% over the $712 from October 2020.

Overall, the Almaden Valley real estate market appears to be resuming a more sustainable pattern. We can expect things to continue cooling through the holidays as is what we expect for this time of year. If you’re thinking about buying or selling, give me a call!

October 2022 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market

July 2022 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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The July 2022 Almaden Valley real estate market is showing signs of normalizing after two years of dramatic imbalance that strongly favored sellers and sent home prices on an upward trajectory. Inventory has increased significantly, assisting in the transition of the market to buyer-driven. On a national level, buyers seem to be hesitating home purchases due to mortgage rates and other economic factors. With the number of pending and sold single family homes retracting from what we were seeing over a year ago despite the increase in inventory, it is likely that our real estate market is reacting in a similar manner. Although we usually see a cooling happening the end of summer, the graph below demonstrates that we are indeed seeing a healthy increase in homes for sale.

Where we are seeing strong evidence that the seller’s market is retreating is in the average price per square foot. It went from $1027/sqft in June to $898 in August. Much of this can be due to the afore-mentioned seasonal fluctuation we see this time of year. However, we are seeing over double the months’ worth of inventory (up to 2.9 months in July versus 1.2 months in June) plus an increase in days on market from 11 days in July 2021 to 24 days in July 2022.

All this points to a more normal real estate market. Although there are plenty of buyers in the market for homes, the increasing number of sellers mean there is more choice and buyers are less likely to get into bidding wars for available homes. This means that sellers will need to do more to differentiate their homes from others on the market and capture the attention and interest of buyers. If you are thinking of selling your home in our changing market, contact me and let me show you how to can make YOUR home stand out from the others.

Bar Graph: Almaden Valley Real Estate July 2022

June 2022 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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Recent data indicates that the Almaden Valley real estate market is transitioning away from the strong seller’s market it has been for a while. The 36 single family homes offered on the market in June was the highest that inventory has been in over two years. The number of pending contracts has continued decreasing since March, although sales have remained fairly stable over that same time period.

Although an increase in inventory and decrease in sales would indicate a move towards a buyer’s market, the sales price per square foot seems to still favor sellers. June’s average price per square foot logged in at $1027/sqft, up slightly from May’s $997 but down from April’s market high of $1078. This indicates that buyers may not be as active in the market as they’ve been in the past but are willing to spend money. It DOES however signal that, with increased inventory, buyers are waiting for “the right” home to come along rather than engage in bidding wars with other buyers for a too-small number of available homes. This means that sellers might have to change their marketing strategy to gain the attention of these buyers.

If you are thinking about selling your home in this changing market, give me a call so I can show you how I can help!

Bar graph: July 2022 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

April 2022 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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Almaden Valley single family homes are still in high demand, although supply is beginning to catch up. April saw 32 single family homes offered on the MLS, a number we haven’t seen since the summer of 2020. This represents a big jump in listings in April, up from 12 in March. The 34 single family homes that sold in April is up from the 32 sales we saw in March but significantly down from 44 we saw same time last year.

Despite the increasing inventory we’ve been seeing since the first of the year, the average sold price per square foot speaks to how competitive the market still is. In April it reached a record $1078/sqft. Back in September 2021 it was $825/sqft, from which the price has been steadily on an upward trajectory.

There was some concern at the beginning of the year that increasing mortgage rates and prices might cool the market, it might not be having the impact many real estate prognosticators feared. Almaden Valley real estate is still in high demand, and so far the increased inventory is finding buyers. If you’re thinking about buying or selling, give me a call!

Graph: April 2022 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

December 2021 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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The year 2021 was, by all accounts, a banner year for Almaden Valley real estate. Extremely high demand due to low interest rates, the migration of tech employees from the office to the home, and San Jose’s approval of Google’s 80-acre campus in downtown San Jose helped push Almaden Valley’s prices up. The median sales price for a single family home was $2,080,000 in December 2021, a whopping 25% over December 2020’s figure of $1,660,000. TrendGraphix shows a similar 25% increase in Almaden average price per square foot, from $737 in December 2020 to $924 in December 2021.

Inventory remains tight, though we generally tend to see an increase as we move into spring. Interest rates have already inched up each week for the past month, and predictions are that rates will continue to rise in 2022. It remains to be seen if the predicted increase in rates will stimulate more buyers to enter the market sooner in order to take advantage of current rates. Even with rates going up, though, they still remain quite attractive, and we don’t believe they will have a significant dampening effect on our market, at least not for the next few months. If you’re thinking now might be the right time for you to buy or sell, give me a call!

Almaden Valley Real Estate Market 2017-2021

October 2021 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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Almaden Valley single family real estate appears to be easing into its annual holiday slowdown… or at least elements are. Sellers have pulled back on putting their homes on the market as we would expect with the holiday season upon us, with only 10 homes added in October (which is, if not a record low for inventory in our market, pretty close to it). 31 sales closed in October, up over 40% from the 22 closings in September.

When we compare 2021 numbers with those of the same time last year, we can see that tight inventory is running the proverbial show. This October’s data is across the board lower in three key factors: number of homes put on the market (10 this year versus 19 same time last year); number of sold listings (31 versus 39); and number of pending sales (25 versus 30). In 2020 October saw about half a month’s inventory, while this year we’re seeing not much over a week’s worth. In looking at the price per square foot, we can see just how tight inventory is. Last month we saw $868/sq ft, up from $825 in September. The average price per square foot in October 2020 was $712, representing an almost 30% increase.

There is no question that Almaden Valley real estate is highly competitive, even going into the holiday season. If you are thinking about selling your home, call/email/text me and let me show you how selling now can help you take advantage of the high buyer demand we’re seeing!

October 2021 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market

September 2021 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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Mortgage interest rates have been inching up but buyers are still keen on Almaden Valley real estate. Perhaps the rising mortgage rates are why we saw a dramatic increase of 80% in the number of pending homes last month as buyers may have hastened their purchases in order to lock in lower rates.

August/September is when we usually see the market cool for the holidays, and if it weren’t for this flurry of home purchasing we might be seeing it this year. Inventory is edging upwards and sales were slowing down in a predictable seasonal pattern. However, I anticipate the sold numbers for the next month or so will increase as the pending contracts close.

Average price per square foot has retracted a bit, to $825/sqft from August’s $866/sqft. Still, when compared to the same time last year we’ve still seen an almost 20% increase from $688/sqft in 2020.

Negotiating our unpredictable market requires a high level of experience. If you are thinking of buying or selling, call, text or email me and let me show you how I can help make the best deal!

September 2021 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market

August 2021 Almaden Valley Real Estate Market Update

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Leading real estate information news site Inman recently released their 2021 Fall Housing Market Outlook in which they predict that prices will cool but inventory will remain tight. We are seeing this general trend in the Almaden Valley market, which we tend to see as the year progresses towards the holiday season.

When examining the average price per square foot, we can see that the Almaden Valley real estate market for single family homes has remained pretty stable over the last several months. In April 2021, the average price per square foot was $885 and August ended with $866/square foot. We ARE seeing prices retract a bit, but this is very likely due to fact that inventory has risen and that we are entering the holiday season when the market tends to cool a bit. In May of this year, we were at about .3 months’ worth of inventory, which has gradually climbed to about .5 for August. Although this increase in inventory has relieved some pressure on the upward pricing trend we were seeing earlier in the year, as Inman suggests inventory is still tight.

These are unusual times, with factors affecting our real estate market that we haven’t seen before. If you are looking to buy or sell a home in Almaden Valley, contact me and let me show you what I can do to help get the best deal in this unusual market.

August 2021 Almaden Valley Real Estate

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